About 40 miles north of the California-Mexico border lies the shrinking, landlocked lake known as the Salton Sea. Once the epicenter of a thriving resort community, water contamination and decades of drought have contributed to a collapse of the lake’s once vibrant ecosystem, and given rise to ghost towns.

But amidst this environmental disaster, the California Energy Commission estimates that there’s enough lithium here to meet all of the United States’ projected future demand, and 40% of the entire world’s demand. That’s big news for the booming electric vehicle industry, as lithium is the common denominator across all types of EV batteries.

Traditionally, lithium extraction involves either open-pit mining or evaporation ponds, which work by pumping lithium-containing brine to the surface and waiting for the water to dry up. Both of these methods have huge land footprints, are often very water-intensive, and can create lots of contamination and waste.

But at the Salton Sea, three companies are developing chemical processes to extract lithium in a much cleaner way, taking advantage of the Salton Sea’s rich geothermal resources. Near the lake, there are already 11 operating geothermal power plants, ten of which are owned by Berkshire Hathaway’s renewable energy division, BHE Renewables.

“We are already pumping 50,000 gallons of brine per minute across all of our ten geothermal facilities to the surface,” said Alicia Knapp, President and CEO of BHE Renewables, “And we’re using the steam from that brine to generate clean energy. And so we’re really halfway there in that we’ve got the lithium right here in our hands.”

Two other companies, EnergySource and Controlled Thermal Resources, or CTR, are also developing joint geothermal-lithium facilities at the Salton Sea, and General Motors has already committed to source lithium from CTR.

This new industry could be a major economic boon to the region, where the majority Mexican-American community faces high rates of unemployment and poverty, and suffers health impacts from the toxic dust that blows off the Salton Sea’s drying lakebed.

“We’re cautiously excited in regards to the Lithium Valley,” said Maria Nava-Froelich, the temporary mayor of Calipatria, the city of about 6,000 where the geothermal power plants are located, “We see it as a game changer here for the Imperial County.”

Nava-Froelich hopes the industry will bring much needed jobs and development to the region, helping to revitalize communities have seen an exodus of young people seeking opportunities elsewhere. And environmentalists hope that the influx of attention and money will hasten California’s efforts to restore the environment in and around the Salton Sea.

If there were ever a time to bet on domestic mineral projects, it might be now. At the end of March, President Biden invoked the Defense Production Act to boost production of EV battery minerals like lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite and manganese. 

But extracting lithium from geothermal brines has never been done before at scale, so it remains to be seen what benefits the electric vehicle industry, the local community, and the environment will actually see.

Lithium Valley

This isn’t the first time that there’s been interest in lithium recovery at the Salton Sea. Hyped start-up Simbol Materials previously developed a demonstration plant, but the company ceased operations in 2015 after a failed acquisition attempt by Tesla, and never developed a commercial-scale facility.

Since then, demand for lithium has shot up, and after falling sharply in 2018, prices are surging once again, incentivizing projects that might not have been economical before. If the current trio of companies can prove their tech works, they stand to make a lot of money from the hundreds of thousands of tons of lithium in the area.

“The Salton Sea field, fully developed, could serve well over 600,000 tons a year, when the world production is less than 400 [thousand] now, said Rod Colwell, CEO of CTR.

Unlike Berkshire Hathaway and EnergySource, CTR doesn’t have any geothermal power plants in the region, so it’s building a joint geothermal and lithium recovery facility all at once. Currently, the company is constructing a demonstration plant, and plans to open its first full-scale facility by the beginning of 2024, providing 20,000 tons of lithium to GM.

Colwell estimates that CTR’s first plant will cost just shy of $1 billion, a steeper price per ton of lithium than many traditional lithium recovery projects. But all three companies expect that price to drop as the technology develops further.

CTR is using ion-exchange technology to recover lithium, which it developed in partnership with Bay Area-based Lilac Solutions. In this method, geothermal brine flows through tanks filled with ceramic beads, which absorb lithium from the brine. When the beads are saturated, the lithium is flushed out with hydrochloric acid, and lithium chloride remains. This is an intermediary product that CTR plans to refine onsite, yielding lithium carbonate or lithium hydroxide, a powder that’s ready to be processed and transformed into precursor chemicals and then manufactured into battery cells. 

Berkshire Hathaway is also using ion-exchange technology, though the company hasn’t revealed as many specifics as CTR about how it will work.

EnergySource has developed technology known as Integrated Lithium Adsorption Desorption, or ILiAD, and it’s jumping straight into building a full-scale facility, which it expects to be operational by 2024.

″What we see in terms of production costs is that geothermal brine should be around the first quartile in terms of market competitiveness,” said Derek Benson, CEO of EnergySource.

Notably, all three companies plan to refine the lithium onsite, a process that normally takes place overseas. But the companies aren’t equipped to handle additional steps, such as chemical processing and battery cell manufacturing, which still primarily take place in Asia. 

“The rest of the supply chain, hopefully in the coming years will also be developed in the US,” said Knapp, “so that we’re able to go straight from lithium and other minerals in the ground to batteries that we’re using to run our infrastructure.” 

EV battery maker Italvolt recently announced plans to launch a new company, Statevolt, with the intent to build a $4 billion dollar Gigafactory in Imperial Valley that would produce enough lithium ion batteries for 650,000 electric vehicles per year. Statevolt signed a Letter Of Intent to source lithium and geothermal power from CTR, but did not respond to CNBC’s inquiry about whether it will do chemical processing onsite.

Community involvement 

The new industry could have a major impact on the Imperial Valley community, where many low-income residents work in agriculture, and the unemployment rate is 12%, over three times the national average. 

California formed the Lithium Valley Commission so that government, industry and community stakeholders could come together and analyze the potential opportunities that lithium recovery could bring. 

Luis Olmedo is a member of the commission, representing disadvantaged and low-income communities in the Salton Sea geothermal resource area. 

“It’s going to be really important that the community is involved and engaged, because if the community isn’t there, the vision is going to be drawn out for them”, Olmedo said. “We know that these are prime target areas where communities will be taken advantage of. We know that.”

Both Berkshire Hathaway and CTR also have representatives on the Lithium Valley Commission, and stress the positive impacts that they believe the burgeoning industry will bring, from property tax revenue that could benefit local schools and fund additional government services, to job creation. 

“This community needs us,” Knapp said. “And this is a fantastic place for us to invest and benefit not just ourselves as a company, but benefit all of us in the market, as lithium is so essential to our daily lives. And these people right here in this community by providing jobs, education, opportunities, just all the economic development that comes with that big of an investment.” 

Knapp says that they’re working with a number of educational institutions in the area, from high schools to community colleges to four year institutions, to make sure that students interested in getting a job in the geothermal and lithium industries are properly trained.  

“You know, we’re about 90% trades, right? So we’re not looking for a bunch of PhDs here,” said Colwell.

Olmedo and Nava-Froelich say they’re encouraged by the conversations that are happening, but they’ve been disappointed by big talk before. 

“We are a little cautious because we don’t want to get our hopes up high,” Nava-Froelich said, “All this talk, is it really happening or are they just kind of talking about it and they may pull out and go somewhere else? It’s almost too good to be true.”

Environmentalists also see this as a moment to catalyze momentum around habitat restoration at the Salton Sea. While California has been working on the problem for years, advocates are pushing the state to expedite projects that involve creating lower salinity ponds on the dry lakebed where fish and bird species can thrive. And with the state’s budget surplus, things are finally moving. 

“They need a longer term vision and a pipeline for additional projects moving forward. So there’s a lot more that needs to be done, but we’re starting to see some things happen,” said Michael Cohen, Senior Research Associate at the Pacific Institute, a research institute focused on water conservation. ”So we’re seeing more progress than we’ve seen ever, really.” 

As mining projects face community concern and backlash in other parts of the country, it seems like lithium recovery at the Salton Sea could be the rare minerals project that unites most stakeholders. That is, if it works.